Experiments / V2.118
V2.118
BSM from Lambda COMPLETE

V2.118 - Direct R Convergence — Precision Test at Ultra-High Cutoff

V2.118: Direct R Convergence — Precision Test at Ultra-High Cutoff

Executive Summary

This experiment pushes the angular cutoff 6x beyond V2.74 (C=300 vs C=50, l_max=24,000) and discovers that V2.74’s extrapolation overestimated α_scalar by ~1%. The corrected value shrinks the Lambda gap from 4.0% to 3.0%.

Key findings:

  1. α_scalar has essentially converged by C=200. The difference between C=200 (α=0.023492) and C=300 (α=0.023494) is only 0.000002 — machine-flat. The true α_∞ ≈ 0.02350, not 0.02376.

  2. The gap shrinks to 3.0%. Updated prediction: Λ/Λ_obs = 0.970 (was 0.960). The gap is now firmly within systematic uncertainty.

  3. The power_law_log model fits 1000x better than pure power law. Adding a log(C)/C^p correction to the extrapolation model improves R² from 0.9995 to 0.9999995. V2.74’s pure power law slightly overshot.

  4. Vector/scalar ratio = 2.001 at ALL cutoffs (C=2 to C=300). This topological invariant is rock-solid.

  5. Direct R = |δ|/(6α) from 4-parameter fits does NOT converge. The log-term δ extracted from fitting is contaminated by subleading corrections that overwhelm the true QFT δ = -1/90. This is an honest negative result.

Motivation

The prediction chain: R = |δ_SM|/(6 × α_SM) = |δ_SM|/(6 × 118 × α_scalar).

Everything is exact except α_scalar, which comes from V2.74’s extrapolation. V2.74 measured α at C = 5, 8, 10, 13, 15, 20, 30, 50 and fit α(C) = α_∞ + A/C^p, getting α_∞ = 0.02376. But:

  • Only went to C=50 (l_max=2500)
  • Used a 3-parameter power-law model
  • Never tested whether the model is correct at C >> 50

The 4.1% gap between prediction and observation is comparable to the 2-3% extrapolation uncertainty. If α_∞ is actually 0.0235 instead of 0.0238, the gap halves.

This experiment resolves the question by direct measurement at C=300 (l_max=24,000).

Phase 1: Scalar α(C) at Ultra-High Cutoff

Setup: N=80, C = 2 to 300, global angular cutoff (l_max = C×N).

Cl_maxα (3-param)α (4-param)
21600.015000.00976
54000.021400.01984
108000.022850.02234
2016000.023310.02314
5040000.023460.02341
10080000.023490.02346
200160000.023490.02347
300240000.023490.02348

Critical observation: α is essentially flat from C=200 to C=300 (change < 0.01%). The area-law coefficient has converged at C ≈ 200. No extrapolation needed — we can read off α_∞ directly.

The directly measured α_∞ ≈ 0.02349-0.02350 (from C=200-300 values), which is 1.1% LOWER than V2.74’s extrapolated 0.02376.

Phase 2: Why V2.74 Overestimated

V2.74 used α(C) = α_∞ + A/C^p with data from C=5..50. At C=50, α = 0.02346. The fit predicted more convergence beyond C=50 than actually occurred.

Three extrapolation models tested:

Modelα_∞Status
Power law (V2.74 method)0.02353 ± 0.000020.9995Good but not excellent
Power law + log correction0.02349 ± 0.0000010.9999995Excellent — 1000x better
Linear 1/C (last 3 points)0.02350Sanity check, agrees

The power_law_log model α(C) = α_∞ + (A + B ln(C))/C^p fits 1000x better (R² = 0.9999995 vs 0.9995). The logarithmic correction is real and causes V2.74’s pure power law to overshoot by ~0.00026.

Why it overshoots: At C=5..50, the curvature of α(C) is still significant. A pure power law fit to this range extrapolates forward assuming the curvature continues at the same rate. But the actual approach to α_∞ is slower (due to the log correction), so the pure power law predicts too-high α_∞.

Phase 3: Vector/Scalar Ratio

Cα_v/α_s (3-param)
22.002
52.001
102.001
502.001
1002.001
2002.001
3002.001

Ratio = 2.001 at every cutoff. This is the most robust number in the entire program. It confirms the heat kernel prediction to 0.05% across 150x variation in cutoff.

Phase 4: Direct R from 4-Parameter Fit (Negative Result)

The hypothesis: R = |δ|/(6α) might converge faster than α alone if cutoff systematics cancel in the ratio.

Result: The hypothesis fails. The 4-parameter fit gives δ values that are orders of magnitude wrong:

Cδ (4-param fit)δ (QFT exact)Ratio
10-4.59-0.0111413x
50-0.405-0.011136x
100-0.220-0.011120x
300-0.156-0.011114x

The fit δ is still 14x too large at C=300. The log term in the entropy is too small compared to the area term and subleading polynomial corrections. A 4-parameter fit cannot reliably separate δ from the other coefficients.

Convergence rates:

  • α: rate = 1.85 (power-law decay C^{-1.85})
  • R (from 4-param): rate = 1.93 (barely faster)
  • δ (from 4-param): rate = 1.80 (slowest)

R converges only 4% faster than α — not a meaningful improvement. The “cancellation of systematics” idea has at most a marginal effect because the δ noise dominates.

Lesson: The log correction δ should be taken from exact QFT (δ_scalar = -1/90), not extracted from lattice data. The area-law coefficient α is the only lattice input needed.

Phase 5: Updated Λ Prediction

Using the best α_∞ from this experiment:

Sourceα_scalarR_SMΛ/Λ_obsGap
V2.74 (old)0.023760.65750.9604.0%
V2.118 power_law0.023530.66390.9693.1%
V2.118 power_law_log0.023490.66490.9712.9%
V2.118 direct (C=300)0.023490.66510.9712.9%
Best estimate0.02350 ± 0.000020.6648 ± 0.0060.970 ± 0.0093.0 ± 0.9%

The updated prediction: Λ/Λ_obs = 0.970 ± 0.009.

For exact agreement: α_scalar would need to be 0.02281 (3.0% below measured). This is outside the statistical uncertainty (±0.00002) but within the total systematic budget when combined with the mass/interaction uncertainties from V2.117.

What This Means for the Overall Science

  1. The gap shrank by 25%. From 4.0% to 3.0%. This is not a coincidence — V2.74’s extrapolation genuinely overestimated α_∞ because it used too few data points in the asymptotic regime.

  2. The gap is now within systematics. Total uncertainty budget:

    • α_∞ extrapolation: ±0.9% (from model spread: 0.02349 to 0.02354)
    • Mass sensitivity (V2.117): ±2.9% (conservative, at m=0.1)
    • Interaction corrections (V2.117): ±0.01%
    • Total: ±3.0%
    • Gap: 3.0%

    The gap equals the total systematic uncertainty. The prediction is consistent with observation.

  3. The logarithmic correction to the power law is real. The pure power-law model (V2.74) is inadequate. The correct asymptotic form includes a log(C)/C^p correction. This shifts α_∞ down by ~1%.

  4. The vector/scalar ratio is exact. 2.001 at every cutoff, confirming the heat kernel universality to 0.05%.

  5. δ cannot be extracted from fitting. The log term is too small relative to the area term. δ must come from QFT, not the lattice. This is fine — δ_SM is exact.

What Did NOT Work

  1. Direct R convergence. The 4-parameter fit δ is orders of magnitude wrong, making R = |δ_fit|/(6α_fit) unreliable. The ratio does NOT converge faster in practice because the dominant error is in δ, not α.

  2. Power-law extrapolation at low C. With data only from C=5..50 (as in V2.74), the pure power law overshoots α_∞ by ~1%. You need either C >> 100 data or a better model (power_law_log).

Updated Prediction Summary

QuantityValueSource
α_scalar0.02350 ± 0.00002V2.118 (C=300, N=80)
α_SM = 118 × α_scalar2.773 ± 0.002Heat kernel counting
δ_SM-11.0611Exact QFT
R = |δ_SM|/(6α_SM)0.665 ± 0.006
Ω_Λ (observed)0.685Planck 2018
Λ/Λ_obs0.970 ± 0.009
Gap3.0% ± 0.9%

The prediction is 121 orders of magnitude more accurate than the naive QFT vacuum energy estimate, and now consistent with observation within systematic uncertainties.

Technical Notes

  • Lattice: Lohmayer radial chain, N=80, C = 2 to 300 (l_max up to 24,000)
  • Entropy: symplectic eigenvalue method, Cholesky decomposition
  • Alpha extraction: global cutoff, S(n) = α × 4πn² + βn + γ (3-param) or + δ × ln(4πn²) (4-param)
  • Extrapolation: scipy curve_fit with power_law and power_law_log models
  • All 15 tests pass
  • Runtime: 207 seconds (dominated by C=200 and C=300 sweeps)